My Electoral Forecast Model
Okay, this has nothing to do with national security law or policy. What's more, this is way, way outside my area of expertise. But I have this feeling that this may be of interest to some Lawfare readers, so I'm going to post it to this site once and then never mention it here again: I've developed a super-crude electoral forecast model.
Published by The Lawfare Institute
in Cooperation With
Okay, this has nothing to do with national security law or policy. What's more, this is way, way outside my area of expertise. But I have this feeling that this may be of interest to some Lawfare readers, so I'm going to post it to this site once and then never mention it here again: I've developed a super-crude electoral forecast model.
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Here's my post on Facebook about it:
And here's the underlying spreadsheet.
I mean to keep the forecast updated throughout the election as an experiment to see how this sort of super-simple model performs against more elaborate electoral forecasting models like those at FiveThirtyEight and the New York Times.
Enjoy.
